Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 18 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 00:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 166 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 3 at 7:58PM EDT until July 3 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY
Urban PEI: 26,236,480 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 March 2026
- July 3, 2026 · score 52 · 2.3 km
- June 22, 2026 · score 52 · 3.5 km
- March 17, 2026 · score 52 · 5.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 52 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 52 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.79/1 |
| Coordinates | 40.4309, -73.9543 |
| Nearest City | Middletown (15 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 26.2M within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-03T23:58:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7148f9c72f6f7594f5d442bf949222d2 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03T23:58:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-04T00:16:30.186Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | New York Harbor; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; New York Harbor; Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 to 60 NM; Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 NM; Waters from Sandy Hook NJ to Manasquan Inlet NJ from 20 to 40 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 3 at 7:58PM EDT until July 3 at 8:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY |
| Expires | 2026-07-03T20:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Upton NY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7148f9c72f6f7594f5d442bf949222d2bcc09a1f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.619f318cd64390ab03c8dba45d9c29076084338b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b4eb74467aed086ef90ad0860667f6c026ddf8c0.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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